Monday, May 19, 2008

Same as it ever was...

Well, Yankee fans, here we are again, 20-24, 6 games out. But hey, look at the bright side - last year we had the very same record but were 10-1/2 games out.

And last year things got worse -- we'd finish the month 22-29 -- before they got better. But we went 72-39 the rest of the way.

So yeah, it's possible we'll do that again and win the wild card, maybe even the division. But wouldn't it be nice if this team could play all six months of the season, instead of only the last four?

It's just not easy to beat a guy like Oliver Perez with five lefties in the lineup (and when one of the righties is Alberto Gonzalez).


Perez vs RHB: .285 BA, .390 OBP, .398 SLG
Perez vs LHB: .094 BA, .269 OBP, .208 SLG


I don't know why Girardi left Morgan Ensberg and Shelley Duncan on the bench; you would think their only purpose in life is to mash guys like Ollie. If you aren't going to use them last night, why have them on the team? I do realize that Ensberg is hitting .214 (.179 vs LHP) and Duncan is hitting .194 (.240 vs LHP), but it's not like Giambi and Cano are hitting either. If they put Gonzalez at second, Ensberg at third and Duncan at first, do they win the game? Who knows. Maybe Duncan doesn't waste an out in the 4th inning the way Giambi did (trying to force Carlos Beltran instead of getting the easier out at first), and the Mets don't score 4 runs that inning. Maybe the offense produces more than 2 runs. Or maybe they get shut out, who knows.

All I know is this is a very frustrating team to watch right now, and when things were bleak last year, it was guys like Duncan who fired up the team and finally got them playing with some heart again.

Get them in the game, Joe. At this point, what do we have to lose?

Friday, May 16, 2008

Bobby Hill watch

I have not relented in my unhealthy obsession with Bobby Hill, not the kid from King of the Hill but rather the former can't-miss prospect who missed. Hill was a Scott Boras client who elected not to sign with the White Sox after they took him in the second round of the 1999 amateur draft; instead, he played a year with the independent league Newark Bears. The following year, the Cubs took him in the draft and he did sign. After a few years in the minors, but never really getting a shot to play, and a few injuries, he's now back where it all began, with the Newark Bears.

Through Newark's first 18 games, Bobby is still getting on base (.373 OBP) but is hitting just .246; he no longer has any speed and he never had much power. A .246 BA/.721 OPS from a second baseman wouldn't impress you if he did it in Triple-A, and this isn't even Triple-A. This is the Atlantic League, where the level of competition is uneven to say the least.

At least Bobby is out-hitting a couple other former phenoms, Randall Simon and Calvin Pickering. In fact, you could go through the Atlantic League and put together an intriguing roster of has-beens, almost-weres and never-wuzzes.

The Atlantic League's "Where Are They Now?" All-Star Team:

Starters:
C Jason Phillips (Camden) - .320/.393/.400 in 25 AB
1B Randall Simon (Newark) - .226/.258/.306 in 62 AB
2B Brent Abernathy (Long Island) - .320/.346/.360 in 50 AB
3B Brandon Larson (Somserset) - .338/.411/.508 in 65 AB
SS Alex Prieto (Bridgeport) - .191/.263/.235 in 68 AB
LF Curtis Pride (Maryland) - .212/.350/.318 in 66 AB
CF Val Majewski (Newark) - .300/.390/.400 in 50 AB
RF Carl Everett (Long Island) - .323/.440/.468 in 62 AB
DH Calvin Pickering (Bridgeport) - .161/.333/.339 in 56 AB

Reserves:
C Mike Rose (Long Island) - .156/.289/.219 in 32 AB
C/1B Matt LeCroy (Lancaster) - .129/.206/.226 in 31 AB
UT Bobby Hill (Newark) - .246/.373/.348 in 69 AB
UT Damian Jackson (Maryland) - .000/.222/.000 in 7 AB
OF Mike Vento (Camden) - .125/.200/.125 in 8 AB

Starting Pitchers:
SP John Halama (Maryland) - 2.36 ERA, 0.97 WHIP in 26.2 IP
SP Brian Lawrence (Camden) - 3.97 ERA, 1.37 WHIP in 22.2 IP
SP Eric Dubose (Bridgeport) - 4.50 ERA, 1.55 WHIP in 22.0 IP
SP Ryan Drese (Camden) - 4.87 ERA, 1.57 WHIP in 20.1 IP
SP Jason Simontacchi (Long Island) - 6.43 ERA, 1.64 WHIP in 14.0 IP

Relievers:
RP Bret Prinz (Somerset) - 0.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP in 9.0 IP
RP Travis Wade (Maryland) - 3.12 ERA, 1.50 WHIP in 8.2 IP
RP Wayne Franklin (York) - 3.86 ERA, 1.41 WHIP in 16.1 IP
RP Jeff Farnsworth (Maryland) - 6.35 ERA, 1.59 WHIP in 22.2 IP
RP Will Cunnane (Newark) - 6.55 ERA, 1.91 WHIP in 11.0 IP
RP Brian Shackelford (Maryland) - 0.00 ERA, 3.00 WHIP in 1.1 IP

Sunday, April 27, 2008

That hurts!

The Yankees have suddenly been hit with a couple big injuries.

Jorge Posada has a "tear in his subscapularis muscle"... that doesn't sound good. What sounds even worse is he's going to go visit with Dr. James Andrews. Andrews had earlier said he didn't think Posada would need surgery, but the shoulder hasn't gotten any better. At this point all we know is he is probably going on the D.L. for the first time in his 13-year career.

Adding to the frustration, the Yankees just designated Chad Moeller for assignment, so now it's just Jose Molina and presumably Chris Stewart from Scranton (.270 BA, .737 OPS). Stewart is an intriguing fellow as he has a .386 OBP... in 37 ABs, he has 7 walks and 0 strikeouts. But don't get too excited -- he has a career .313 OBP (.252 BA, .361 SLG) in seven minor league seasons. If Moeller clears waivers maybe they'll bring him back, or troll the free agent catcher market and see who needs a job. Does anyone have Mike Lieberthal's phone number? I guess if all else fails we can always suit up Girardi for old times' sake.

Then there's Brian Bruney, who suffered the dreaded Lisfranc injury and might be gone for the rest of the season. I know Bruney wasn't high on anyone's pre-season "Yankees I hope don't get Lisfranc'd" list, but he was one of our best non-Joba middle relief options this year (11.1 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 6 BB, 12 K).

Luckily we have a lot of depth at Triple-A when it comes to bullpen help. Edwar Ramirez has been just filthy in Scranton (9.0 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 13 K). Jose Veras (11.0 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 18 K), Heath Phillips (12.2 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 11 K) and Sean Henn (6.2 IP, 5 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 7 K) have pitched well also. I think you call up Edwar and hope Ross Ohlendorff gets straightened out.

Thursday, April 17, 2008

Your number is up...

So, LaTroy Hawkins has given up No. 21...

I have mixed feelings about this whole situation.

First, I don't really like Hawkins. The Yankees desperately needed middle relief help, but Hawkins? The guy with a career 4.70 ERA, 1.47 WHIP? Check his career numbers against Boston (5.23 ERA, 1.39 WHIP), Cleveland (5.27, 1.78) and Anaheim/Los Angeles (5.85, 1.73), the A.L.'s three post-season teams last year.

Most alarming of all, the Yankees have hit Hawkins to the tune of a 6.44 ERA, 1.61 WHIP and .327 BAA. Wouldn't it have made more sense for us to pay another team to take him? He helps us more when he's pitching for an opponent!

We've been collecting guys like this since the end of the great Ramiro Mendoza/Mike Stanton/Jeff Nelson triumverate. He's a proud successor to the heritage of Luis Vizcaino, Felix Rodriguez, Felix Heredia, Paul Quantrill and Antonio Osuna.

But there weren't a lot of great middle relievers available this off-season, and we needed somebody who could throw strikes. (For all his faults, he doesn't give up a lot of walks... just hits.) Frankly, Hawkins isn't a problem if he's a mop-up guy, and hopefully that's what he'll be as I'm assuming Joe Girardi knows that Brian Bruney and Ross Ohlendorf are both better options to bridge the gap to Joba and Mo.

But I think it was stupid to boo a guy for his number. If the Yankees wanted to retire No. 21, they didn't need LaTroy's permission to do it. And the bottom line is? I don't think the number should be retired.

Paul O'Neill was a very good player who I will always remember, but retired numbers should be for the true Yankee greats, and he wasn't. He's like Hank Bauer, Roy White, Tommy Tresh. Guys who are beloved by the fans of that generation, but an immortal? I'm sorry, but when you make your list of all-time Yankee outfielders, where do you put the Warrior? In terms of runs created as a Yankee, he ranks eighth (858), between Bob Meusel (876) and Tommy Henrich (856). Don't like runs created? OK, in career OPS, he's 9th (.869) among Yankee OFs, behind the likes of Charlie Keller (.928), George Selkirk (.883), and, again, Henrich (.873). If you want to use Adjusted OPS to take into account his era, it doesn't help your case: He's now tied for 13th at 125 with Hideki Matsui, Bernie Williams and Birdie Cree. (Henrich is 9th.)

I don't point this out to denigrate O'Neill, who, as I said, was a very good player and by all accounts a very nice, very funny guy. In 40 years, I will tell my grandchildren stories about O'Neill's legendary tantrums and the crowd chanting his name in 2001. It doesn't matter if there's a No. 21 plaque on the wall or not. And they'll think of O'Neill the way I think of Henrich, a very good player who belongs to my grandfather's generation.

I like what the Yankees had done with O'Neill's number, leave it out of circulation for a little while, then quietly bring it back. (Honestly, if it were up to me, I'd make Numbers 1 and 9 available again too, but that ain't gonna happen.) I don't remember any outrage when Morgan Ensberg wore 21 in spring training. I wonder what would've happened if he had just kept it? Could it be that No. 21 just looks better on a white guy?

All that said... Hawkins had a 9.00 ERA and 1.86 WHIP as No. 21; last night, as No. 22, he pitched two scoreless innings, giving up just one hit and striking out 2, and earned his first Yankee win. So maybe the fans were right after all.

Wednesday, March 26, 2008

What the hell do I know? 2008 edition

Last year I made some predictions about how the baseball season would go. I thought the Yankees would win the A.L. East and the Red Sox would win the Wild Card; flip those two. I had the Indians winning the Central; they did. I blew the West, picking the A's over the Angels. Whoops.

Joe Torre reacts to last year's picks.In the N.L., I picked the Mets to win the East, with the Phillies close enough behind them to win the Wild Card. Well, that almost happened, except the Mets decided to take September off, stumbling to a bizarre finish that left them a game behind Philadelphia and two games out of the Wild Card. Ah well. In the Central, I admitted I had no idea and threw a dart at the Astros. Yikes. They went 73-89, finishing 12 games behind the Central champion Cubs. In the West, I picked the Padres, who finished a game out, but that was only good enough for 3rd place. The D-Backs and Rockies tied, with Colorado going in as the Wild Card.

So now you know not to listen to me.

But what the heck, let's try again.

AMERICAN LEAGUE
A.L. East: As a Yankee fan I have no choice but to pick the Bombers. Both teams have some question marks in their rotations, but the Yankees have the better offense - let's not forget they led MLB with 5.98 runs per game last year, while the Red Sox were 4th (5.35), behind the Phillies (5.51) and Tigers (5.48). The Yankees gave the Sox a two-month head start and finished 2 games behind the Red Sox; this year it's the Sox starting with injury problems in their rotation. So, I'm taking Yankees followed by the Wild Card-winning Red Sox. I think the Rays and Jays will battle it out for third and the Orioles bring up the rear.

A.L. Central: Wow, people really love the Tigers. They may score 1,000 runs. They won't - but when you consider their pitching staff, will 1,000 runs be enough? It's possible the Tigers slug their way to 90 wins, and maybe that's enough to win the Central, but maybe not. I'll take the Indians again, followed by the Tigers, then the White Sox and Royals, with the Twins dropping to last place.

A.L. West: Well, even I've been convinced not to pick Oakland this year. I still hate the Angels, but the Rangers are such a screwed-up organization I just can't pick them. Every year they whine about pitching and every year they go out and trade for... batters. Nice. I know the Mariners won 88 games last year, but that was a fluke; on the other hand, they added Erik Bedard. Let's call it even and say they win 88 games again, which I don't think will be enough. So, Angels, Mariners, Rangers, A's.

A.L. Awards: Even though I'm picking the Yankees to win the East, I'll give the MVP to Manny Ramirez as he carries the battered Red Sox to the Wild Card with a ridiculous September, and give the A.L. Cy Young to, what the hell, Erik Bedard, though the Mariners come up short of the playoffs.

NATIONAL LEAGUE
N.L. East: They're bedeviled by injuries at the moment but I can't see the Mets collapsing again. They should post the best record in the N.L. I'm thinking the Braves will finish just ahead of the Phillies but comes up a few games short of the Wild Card. The Nationals are closer to 3rd than to last, but that still leaves them in 4th. The Marlins bring up the rear again.

N.L. Central: Same ol' same ol' out here. The Cubs have some more bats to go with their pitchers and should repeat as Central champs. Everybody else in this division is playing for .500. I'll throw them up in the air and say, Brewers, Reds, Cardinals (what's the over/under for the date of Albert Pujols's season-ending elbow injury?), Astros, Pirates, but who cares.

N.L. West: This is a tough division; you can make a case for anybody except the Giants, who might be the worst team in baseball. Arizona and San Diego have great pitching, Colorado has a good offense and Los Angeles has a little of each. I think the Rockies hang around for awhile but can't keep up; that leaves three teams battling it out for two spots. I think the Diamondbacks come out ahead, and then let's make Joe Torre happy and say the Dodgers get the Wild Card - of their last 13 games, 10 are against the Pirates and Giants, and three are home against San Diego. That leaves the Padres sulking in third place, the Rockies in fourth and of course the Giants last.

N.L. Awards: Mediocre A.L. pitchers look good when they go to the N.L.; how is Johan Santana going to look? But I work with too many pessimistic Mets fans, who have convinced me he'll break down sometime in August. Let's say Brandon Webb takes his second Cy Young in three years, and David Wright wins the MVP.

POST-SEASON
A.L. Playoffs: Yankees over Indians (no bugs this time), and Red Sox over Angels. Yankees over Red Sox in the another 7-game classic.

N.L. Playoffs: Mets over Dodgers; DBacks over Cubs. DBacks over Mets in 6.

World Series: Finally, revenge for the 2001 World Series. Yankees in 6.

Wednesday, March 12, 2008

Why does anyone care?

Maybe it's a good sign that there's so little drama in Yankeeland this year - what, no one cares any more if A-Rod and Jeter still have sleepovers? - that the biggest story out of spring training is that Billy Crystal is going to suit up and play in tomorrow's game against the Pirates.

When I first heard this, I was like, "whatever." And then I heard people calling WFAN and ESPN Radio and whining about how horrible this was, what a sacrilege, what an insult to the game, and I thought about what they were saying, and I was like... "whatever."

Is it hatred of Billy Crystal or hatred of the Yankees or just general pissing and moaning in general that has convinced anyone to care about this? Spring training is just that, training. The games don't count. They play college teams and split squads and minor leaguers with numbers you normally only see on wide receivers.

And why hate on Billy? It's going to be his new best day.



I wonder how many of these same idiots complaining about one game with Billy Crystal remember that Garth Brooks did this -- in three spring trainings! -- including going 0-for-17 with the Mets in 2000. Somehow that's not an insult to the game, because, uh... Garth is a big star? I dunno. Hell, George Plimpton did this 40 years ago and wrote a book about it. And do I even have to bring up Michael Jordan?

If it's OK for Yankees to pretend to act, it's OK for actors to pretend to be Yankees.



Look, the bottom line? If Billy Crystal playing in a meaningless spring training game makes you mad, maybe you oughtta try hitting a pillow.

Wednesday, March 5, 2008

There are no words...



OK, maybe two: Thanks, Brett.